Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos: Euroleague Semifinals Game Prediction and Analysis

We are slowly reaching the end of the Euroleague Finals, and in the first semifinal of the Final Four, Panathinaikos (2nd in the regular season) will face Fenerbahce (6th in the regular season) on May 24 at 16:00 (UTC) at Uber Arena. In the playoffs, Panathinaikos managed to neutralize Maccabi Tel Aviv in a series of five games, finally winning 3-2. Fenerbahce, I could say, had a tougher task at first, as they were playing without home advantage against Monaco, but they overcame them with an away win to make it 3-2 in the series.

In a recent blog post, I tried to compare the two coaches of the teams, Ergin Ataman and Sarunas Jasikevicius, as difficult as it is at this stage. What I mostly take away from that comparison is the fact that both have comparable stats and performances this year. The teams are at almost the same level, but I would say that Fenerbahce has a bit more depth on their roster and a plurality of player options. Panathinaikos, on the other hand, has stronger names and stars on the team, and it’s no coincidence that 3 of their players were voted into the Euroleague top 5 for 2023-2024.

What kind of game will we see in Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos?

I think this game will be different from what we saw in the playoffs in both Monaco vs. Fenerbahce and Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi. Specifically, I don’t expect to see as low scoring as we saw in the Monaco vs. Fenerbahce games, nor the high scoring we saw in the Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi games. From my perspective, I think that whoever manages to get over 80 points will be the winner in the semifinal between these two teams.

The player matchups are quite balanced and interesting. We have M. Lessort against J. Motley, who have a similar style of play, as I analyzed when I chose the best centers of this year’s Euroleague season. Among the forwards, we have N. Hayes-Davis and T. Biberovic against J. Hernangomez or D. Mitoglou, which will be extremely interesting because the Panathinaikos players in these positions are not the best defenders. At the guard spot is where the most interest lies. On one side, we have the experienced N. Calathes, the explosive S. Wilbekin, and T. Dorsey, and on the other side, we have the top defender J. Grant, the in-form K. Nunn, and the experienced and also in excellent shape K. Sloukas.

As you can see, the game looks quite balanced. However, it will be decided in the details and the choices of the players on the court.

Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos: Betting Tips.

Panathinaikos is the favorite in this game, but not to the extent that the betting odds suggest. Therefore, I would recommend not betting on the winner. Instead, I suggest investing your money in the total points scored in the match, as this offers better odds.

Regarding absences, Panathinaikos has K. Sloukas and J. Hernangomez listed as doubtful, but all indications are that both will play against Fenerbahce in the semifinal of the Final Four.

Betting Suggestion:

  • Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos: Under 165.5 points total. Odds: 1.41.

Combo Bet:

In the combo bet, I will suggest some choices that have a good chance of being confirmed. Fenerbahce, in almost all of their games this season, seems to have a significant problem with opposing centers, giving us a good opportunity to bet on M. Lessort to score a lot of points. On the other hand, Panathinaikos has issues with opposing forwards, and N. Hayes-Davis might be Fenerbahce’s top player in the semifinal. Additionally, I believe that Panathinaikos’ defense will not focus on T. Biberovic, allowing him to score a lot of points.

  • Over 14.5 points: M. Lessort
  • Over 16.5 points: N. Hayes-Davis
  • Over 6.5 points: T. Biberovic

Team Lineups:

Panathinaikos AKTOR


  • Panagiotis Kalaitzakis – 0
  • Luca Vildoza – 2
  • Dimitris Moraitis – 6
  • Kostas Sloukas – 10
  • Jerian Grant – 22
  • Kendrick Nunn – 25
  • Marius Grigonis – 40


  • Aleksander Balcerowski – 8
  • Alexandros Samontourov – 20
  • Ioannis Papapetrou – 21
  • Juancho Hernangomez – 41
  • Konstantinos Mitoglou – 44
  • Eleftherios Mantzoukas – 72


  • Mathias Lessort – 26
  • Kostas Antetokounmpo – 37


  • Ergin Ataman

Fenerbahce Beko


  • Sehmus Hazer – 2
  • Scottie Wilbekin – 3
  • Melih Mahmutoglu – 10
  • Mert Eksioglu – 15
  • Marko Guduric – 23
  • Tyler Dorsey – 27
  • Nick Calathes – 33
  • Yam Madar – 41


  • Metecan Birsen – 1
  • Nigel Hayes-Davis – 11
  • Tarik Biberovic – 13
  • Amine Noua – 17
  • Dyshawn Pierre – 21
  • Hamza Mestoglu – 22
  • Nathan Sestina – 77


  • Johnathan Motley – 0
  • Sertac Sanli – 5
  • Georgios Papagiannis – 9


  • Saras Jasikevicius

For statistics Lovers:

  • Panathinaikos scored most of its points this season at the Uber Arena, notably in the game against Alba Berlin with a score of 85-99.
  • The teams met twice this season, with Fenerbahce defeating Panathinaikos 83-69 at home and losing on the road with a score of 74-63.
  • Panathinaikos has a points average of 82.4 and concedes 77.9, while Fenerbahce has a points average of 84.8 and concedes 80.9.
  • Ergin Ataman boasts a 66.6% winning percentage on the Panathinaikos bench, whereas Saras Jasikevicius, leading Fenerbahce, maintains a 65.3% winning percentage.


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Themis Prokopiou

By Themis Prokopiou

As an enthusiastic blogger, I take pride in crafting pages with high-quality content. Explore Euroleague news, predictions, and my personal views on this thrilling basketball institution.

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